Top 5 Dems in 2020

Reparations to African-Americans. Cancellation of $1.6 trillion in student loan debt. Total elimination of all fossil fuels from the U.S. energy portfolio. Removing the existing barriers at the border with Mexico. Direct monthly cash payments of $1,000 to every American. Free abortions for anyone, at any time, for any reason. Full and immediate citizenship for undocumented immigrants.

In comparison to some of these proposals promoted by 2020 Democratic presidential candidates, ideas such as Medicare for all and free tuition at public colleges seem somewhat mild.

To be clear, not all Democrats running are promoting all of these ideas, while some do not support any. However, the Democratic Party, as a whole, has certainly moved far to the political left – especially in comparison to Hillary Clinton’s 2016 platform.

Now that Democrats have conducted the first debates of the 2020 presidential cycle, we decided to again rank our top five contenders for the nomination. The list below is not a projection of how we believe candidates will finish in New Hampshire’s first-in-the-nation presidential primary. This list ranks the candidates who we believe are most likely to ultimately be the 2020 Democratic presidential nominee:

1. Joe Biden of Delaware – The Morning Consult poll released Monday shows Biden still maintains a commanding lead in the Democratic race, as 33% of respondents voted him their top choice. However, it remains to be seen if the 76-year-old former vice president and longtime member of the U.S. Senate will reach the finish line to represent a party that is, on average, far more diverse, young and liberal than he is.

2. Kamala Harris of California – If anything could be truly emblematic of Biden’s problems with the new Democratic Party, it was likely his Thursday evening exchange with Harris. The U.S. senator challenged Biden on his record of opposing mandatory school busing to racially integrate public schools in the 1970s. Harris got a significant bump in the Morning Consult poll after this exchange, while she also racked up the endorsement of former New Hampshire Democratic Party Chair Joe Keefe.

3. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts – Warren continues to lead the field when it comes to unveiling specific policies. Her ideas are far too expansive to discuss here, but are readily available at https://elizabethwarren.com/issues. Warren and Harris are now tied at 12% support in the Morning Consult poll.

4. Pete Buttigieg of Indiana – A massive second quarter campaign cash haul of $24.8 million clearly makes the openly gay, 37-year-old mayor of South Bend a factor in the national race.

5. Bernie Sanders of Vermont – The Monday poll continued to show Sanders in second place with 19% of the vote. However, outside of a true “revolution” of sorts, we simply cannot see the Democratic National Committee allowing Sanders – officially an independent member of the U.S. Senate who describes himself as a socialist – to be the party’s presidential nominee.